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Analysis of Production, Yield and Cultivation Area Trends in Major Cereal Crops in Ethiopia

Received: 4 May 2021    Accepted: 2 July 2021    Published: 13 July 2021
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Abstract

Cereals are important crops for achieving food security in Ethiopia. Maize, sorghum and millet are major cereal grown by smallholder farmers of the country for consumption. Fifteen (15) years data of total production, yield and cultivated area of these cereal crops in Ethiopia were assessed from http://www.fao.org/faostat/en/ to understand the trends of production, yield and cultivated area of maize, sorghum and millet through time and analyze the contribution of increasing yield and cultivated area for total production at the country level. The result revealed that total production in 1993-2019 was increased by 560%, 736% and 732% in maize, sorghum and millet respectively whereas cultivated area for these crops in the same period was increased by 170%, 304% and 159%. Yield of maize, sorghum and millet in 2019 years was 147%, 107% and 222% respectively more compared to the yield of the respective crops in the base year. In maize and sorghum, a unit increase of yield was associated with 3 million tons of production, and in millet a unit increase in yield was associated to nearly 5.5 million tones production. In conclusion, both yield increase and cultivation area expansion contributed to production increase but strong relation was observed between yield and total production in maize, sorghum and millet in Ethiopia.

Published in Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries (Volume 10, Issue 4)
DOI 10.11648/j.aff.20211004.11
Page(s) 123-126
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2024. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Cereals, Correlation, Ethiopia, Simple Linear Regression

References
[1] Abate, T., B. Shiferaw, A. Menkir, W. Dagne, Y. Kebede, T. Kindie, M. Kassie, B. Gezahegn, T. Berhanu, and K. Tolera. 2015. Factors that transformed maize productivity in Ethiopia. Food Security 7: 965-981.
[2] Alemayehu ST, Dorosh P, Gemessa SA. 2013. Crop production in Ethiopia: regional patterns and trends University of Pennsylvania Press. pp. 53-83.
[3] Byerlee D, Spielman DJ, Alemu D, and Gautam M. 2007. Policies to Promote Cereal Intensification in Ethiopia: A Review of Evidence and Experience. IFPRI Discussion Paper 00707. Washington, D C: International Food Policy Research Institute.
[4] Cochrane, L., Bekele, Y. W., 2018. Average crop yield (2001–2017) in Ethiopia: Trends at national, regional and zonal levels. Data in Brief, 16, 1025-1033.
[5] CSA, Ethiopia, 2018. Agricultural sample survey 2014/2015 (2007 E. C). Report on Area and Production of Crops (Private Peasant Holdings, Mehere Season). Central Statistical agency, Ethiopia, Addis Ababa.
[6] CSA, Ethiopia, 2019. Agricultural sample survey 2014/2015 (2008 E. C). Report on Area and Production of Crops (Private Peasant Holdings, Mehere Season). Central Statistical agency, Ethiopia, Addis Ababa.
[7] CSA, Ethiopia, 2020. Agricultural sample survey 2014/2015 (2009 E. C). Report on Area and Production of Crops (Private Peasant Holdings, Mehere Season). Central Statistical agency, Ethiopia, Addis Ababa.
[8] FAOSTAT. 2019. Food and Agriculture organization. http://www.fao.org/faostat/en/
[9] FAOSTAT. 2020. Food and Agriculture organization. http://www.fao.org/faostat/en/
[10] Howard J, Crawford E, Kelly V, Demeke M, Jeje JJ. 2003. Promoting High-Input Maize Technologies in Africa: The Sasakawa-Global 2000 Experience in Ethiopia and Mozambique. Food Policy 28: 335–348.
[11] Kindie TF, van Ittersum MK, Wiebe KD, Boogaard H, Radeny M, Solomon D. 2018. Can Ethiopia feed itself by 2050? Estimating cereal self-sufficiency to 2050. CCAFS Policy Brief 12. Wageningen, the Netherlands: CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS). https://hdl.handle.net/10568/99019.
[12] Tesfaye B, Mesfin K, Tolera A, Gebresilasie H, Gebreyes G, Fite G. 2019. Some maize agronomic practices in Ethiopia: A review of research experiences and lessons from agronomic panel survey in Oromia and Amhara regions. African journal of agricultural research. Vol. 14 (33). 1749-1763. 10.5897/AJAR2019.14338.
[13] You L, Wood-Sichra U, Fritz S, Guo Z, See L, and Koo J. 2014. Spatial Production Allocation Model (SPAM) 2005 v2.0. assessed on 1st, May 2020. Available from http://mapspam.info.
[14] Van Loon MP, Hijbeek R, ten Berge HFM, De Sy V, ten Broeke GA, Solomon D, van Ittersum MK. 2019. Impacts of intensifying or expanding cereal cropping in sub-Saharan Africa on greenhouse gas emissions and food security. Glob. Chang Biology 25: 3720-3730.
[15] Workneh Bekere 2021. From yield to application: nutrient requirement of maize for current and future production. Submitted (accepted). Afr.J.Agr. Res.
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  • APA Style

    Workneh Bekere Kenea. (2021). Analysis of Production, Yield and Cultivation Area Trends in Major Cereal Crops in Ethiopia. Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries, 10(4), 123-126. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.aff.20211004.11

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    ACS Style

    Workneh Bekere Kenea. Analysis of Production, Yield and Cultivation Area Trends in Major Cereal Crops in Ethiopia. Agric. For. Fish. 2021, 10(4), 123-126. doi: 10.11648/j.aff.20211004.11

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    AMA Style

    Workneh Bekere Kenea. Analysis of Production, Yield and Cultivation Area Trends in Major Cereal Crops in Ethiopia. Agric For Fish. 2021;10(4):123-126. doi: 10.11648/j.aff.20211004.11

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  • @article{10.11648/j.aff.20211004.11,
      author = {Workneh Bekere Kenea},
      title = {Analysis of Production, Yield and Cultivation Area Trends in Major Cereal Crops in Ethiopia},
      journal = {Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries},
      volume = {10},
      number = {4},
      pages = {123-126},
      doi = {10.11648/j.aff.20211004.11},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.aff.20211004.11},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.aff.20211004.11},
      abstract = {Cereals are important crops for achieving food security in Ethiopia. Maize, sorghum and millet are major cereal grown by smallholder farmers of the country for consumption. Fifteen (15) years data of total production, yield and cultivated area of these cereal crops in Ethiopia were assessed from http://www.fao.org/faostat/en/ to understand the trends of production, yield and cultivated area of maize, sorghum and millet through time and analyze the contribution of increasing yield and cultivated area for total production at the country level. The result revealed that total production in 1993-2019 was increased by 560%, 736% and 732% in maize, sorghum and millet respectively whereas cultivated area for these crops in the same period was increased by 170%, 304% and 159%. Yield of maize, sorghum and millet in 2019 years was 147%, 107% and 222% respectively more compared to the yield of the respective crops in the base year. In maize and sorghum, a unit increase of yield was associated with 3 million tons of production, and in millet a unit increase in yield was associated to nearly 5.5 million tones production. In conclusion, both yield increase and cultivation area expansion contributed to production increase but strong relation was observed between yield and total production in maize, sorghum and millet in Ethiopia.},
     year = {2021}
    }
    

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  • TY  - JOUR
    T1  - Analysis of Production, Yield and Cultivation Area Trends in Major Cereal Crops in Ethiopia
    AU  - Workneh Bekere Kenea
    Y1  - 2021/07/13
    PY  - 2021
    N1  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.aff.20211004.11
    DO  - 10.11648/j.aff.20211004.11
    T2  - Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries
    JF  - Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries
    JO  - Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries
    SP  - 123
    EP  - 126
    PB  - Science Publishing Group
    SN  - 2328-5648
    UR  - https://doi.org/10.11648/j.aff.20211004.11
    AB  - Cereals are important crops for achieving food security in Ethiopia. Maize, sorghum and millet are major cereal grown by smallholder farmers of the country for consumption. Fifteen (15) years data of total production, yield and cultivated area of these cereal crops in Ethiopia were assessed from http://www.fao.org/faostat/en/ to understand the trends of production, yield and cultivated area of maize, sorghum and millet through time and analyze the contribution of increasing yield and cultivated area for total production at the country level. The result revealed that total production in 1993-2019 was increased by 560%, 736% and 732% in maize, sorghum and millet respectively whereas cultivated area for these crops in the same period was increased by 170%, 304% and 159%. Yield of maize, sorghum and millet in 2019 years was 147%, 107% and 222% respectively more compared to the yield of the respective crops in the base year. In maize and sorghum, a unit increase of yield was associated with 3 million tons of production, and in millet a unit increase in yield was associated to nearly 5.5 million tones production. In conclusion, both yield increase and cultivation area expansion contributed to production increase but strong relation was observed between yield and total production in maize, sorghum and millet in Ethiopia.
    VL  - 10
    IS  - 4
    ER  - 

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Author Information
  • Ethiopian Institute of Agricultural Research, Jimma Research Center, Jimma, Ethiopia

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