Research Article
The Impact of Global Temperatures on Inflation in Gabon
Streley Paul N’Nang Ndong*
,
Elfi Lionnel Digossou,
Mohamed Metoulou Oumarou,
Marc Edgard Ndong Ondo
Issue:
Volume 11, Issue 3, June 2025
Pages:
46-55
Received:
8 March 2025
Accepted:
31 March 2025
Published:
29 August 2025
Abstract: This article analyzes in depth the impact of global temperature variations on inflation in Gabon through the application of an Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model. The analysis is based on annual data covering the period 1990–2023, which makes it possible to capture both the short- and long-term dynamics between climate shocks and price fluctuations. The central objective is to understand how climate anomalies, particularly temperature increases, translate into macroeconomic instability in a country that is highly dependent on imports and whose infrastructure remains vulnerable to external shocks. The results show that a one-degree Celsius rise in average global temperature compared to the 20th-century baseline leads to a long-term increase of approximately 94 points in the Consumer Price Index (CPI). This reflects not only higher prices for essential goods but also a deterioration in the monetary well-being of households, especially the most fragile groups. In the short run, climate shocks tend to generate immediate inflationary pressures, often followed by temporary deflationary episodes as markets attempt to adjust. These fluctuations are amplified by structural weaknesses, such as heavy reliance on imported food products, limited diversification of the economy, and insufficient resilience of transport and energy systems. By integrating climate dynamics into inflation analysis, this study fills a gap in the African economic literature, where environmental variables are still rarely included in macroeconomic models. The findings provide useful insights for policymakers by emphasizing the urgent need for climate adaptation strategies, economic diversification, and stronger social protection systems. In doing so, the paper contributes to the broader debate on the links between climate change, price stability, and sustainable development in Sub-Saharan Africa, using Gabon as a case study.
Abstract: This article analyzes in depth the impact of global temperature variations on inflation in Gabon through the application of an Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model. The analysis is based on annual data covering the period 1990–2023, which makes it possible to capture both the short- and long-term dynamics between climate shocks and price flu...
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Research Article
Influence of Socio-economic Factors on Women's Participation in Politics in Kilifi North Sub-county, Kenya
Timothy Musa*,
Halimu Shauri
Issue:
Volume 11, Issue 3, June 2025
Pages:
56-69
Received:
23 April 2025
Accepted:
10 May 2025
Published:
8 September 2025
Abstract: Women participation in politics is not only a human right but is also fundamental aspect in the achievement of comprehensive, unbiased, and sustainable development. Women need to participate actively in politics for inclusive democratic governance at national as well as at county levels. There is a genuine need for women inclusion and gender equality in governance, as well as other sectors due to the gender gaps that still exist in most realms of life across the globe. It is in this light that the paper examines socio-economic determinants of women participation in politics in Kilifi North Sub-County, Kenya. The study aimed at assessing the level of women participation in politics and finding out the socio-economic factors influencing women participation in politics. A cross-sectional survey research design was adopted to study a sample of 116 households. Data collection was done using interview schedules, after which the data was analyzed using Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS) computer software. The study found that marital status influenced women participation in politics (p=0.005; Crammer’s V= 0.259). Similarly, education level of women influenced their participation in politics (p=0.019; Crammer’s V=0.218). The study concludes that there was low women participation in politics. Accordingly, the study recommends the need to provide advocacy and education to the community on how to enhance participation of women in politics. There is need to increase women participation in vying for legislative seats through leadership advisory services. Within political parties, the study recommends the need to increase women participation in campaigns by creating positions that can only be filled by women.
Abstract: Women participation in politics is not only a human right but is also fundamental aspect in the achievement of comprehensive, unbiased, and sustainable development. Women need to participate actively in politics for inclusive democratic governance at national as well as at county levels. There is a genuine need for women inclusion and gender equali...
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